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Estimating Causal Effects of Malaria Infection on Anaemia Among Children Under Five Years in Uganda: Evidence From a Cross-Sectional Malaria Indicator Survey

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dc.contributor.author Mwangi, Ann
dc.contributor.author Kerich, Gregory Kibet
dc.contributor.author Tum, Isaac Kipkosgei
dc.contributor.author Merveille Essetcheou, Scholastique M.
dc.contributor.author Jimmy, Abraham Isiaka
dc.contributor.author Kazonda, Herbert Tafadzwa
dc.contributor.author Awor, Susan
dc.contributor.author Mwebesa, Edson
dc.contributor.author Agbi, Delight Mawufemor
dc.contributor.author Agasa, Lameck Ondieki
dc.date.accessioned 2026-08-11T06:34:55Z
dc.date.available 2026-08-11T06:34:55Z
dc.date.issued 2026-07
dc.identifier.uri file:///home/systems/Downloads/Estimating_Causal_Effects_of_Malaria_Infection_on_.pdf
dc.identifier.uri http://ir.mu.ac.ke:8080/jspui/handle/123456789/10439
dc.description.abstract Background and Aims: Malaria and anemia remain major public health challenges contributing substantially to morbidity and mortality among children under 5 years in sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA). Although conventional regression analyses have reported a significant association between malaria infection and anemia, these approaches often inadequately account for socioeconomic and demographic confounders, thereby limiting causal interpretation. This study aimed to estimate the causal effect of malaria infection on anemia among children under five in Uganda using a robust quasi‐experimental approach. Methods: We conducted a Propensity Score Matched (PSM) analysis using data from the 2018–2019 Uganda Malaria Indicator (Cross‐Sectional) Survey (UMIS). The study population comprised children under 5 years of age with complete data on malaria status (exposure) and anemia status (outcome). A logistic regression model was used to estimate the propensity scores, incorporating a comprehensive set of child‐level, maternal, and contextual covariates. The Average Treatment Effect on the Treated (ATT) was estimated in Stata v14.0 using survey weights to account for the UMIS complex sampling design. Result: The prevalence of malaria infection among children under five was 23.6% [95% CI: 19.8, 27.8], while the prevalence of anaemia (mild, moderate, or severe) was 51.2% [95% CI: 48.3, 54.1]. The effect of exposure to malaria infection on anaemia was positive and significant [Average Treatment Effect of the Treated (ATT) = 25.6%, 95% CI: 17.6%, 33.5%, p < 0.001]. These results indicate that malaria infection increases the likelihood of anaemia by 25.5 percentage points among infected children under five in Uganda, after adjusting for key confounders. Conclusion: Malaria infection is a major driver of anaemia among Ugandan children under five. Strengthening malaria prevention and prompt treatment could substantially reduce childhood anemia and its associated health burden. en_US
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.subject Propensity score matched analysis en_US
dc.subject Children under five en_US
dc.subject Anemia | en_US
dc.subject Malaria en_US
dc.title Estimating Causal Effects of Malaria Infection on Anaemia Among Children Under Five Years in Uganda: Evidence From a Cross-Sectional Malaria Indicator Survey en_US
dc.type Article en_US


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